Shapovalov vs. Davidovich Fokina: Acapulco Semi-Final Preview

Denis Shapovalov (No. 32) will face Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (No. 48) in the semifinals of the Abierto Mexicano Telcel presentado por HSBC on Friday, February 28. Both players are in strong form and will battle for a spot in the final of this ATP 500 event.

Shapovalov’s Road to the Semifinals

The Canadian rallied from a set down in the quarterfinals to defeat Marcos Giron 4-6, 6-3, 6-2. Shapovalov has been in excellent form on hard courts, winning two tournaments in the last 12 months with a 28-11 record on this surface. His aggressive shot-making and powerful serve make him a formidable opponent.

Key Stats on Hard Courts (Past 12 Months):
✔ Win Percentage: 28-11
✔ Service Games Won: 85.0%
✔ Return Games Won: 25.8%
✔ Break Points Converted: 37.4% (17th on tour)

In his previous tournament, the Dallas Open, Shapovalov captured the title by defeating No. 5-ranked Casper Ruud 7-6, 6-3 in the final.

Davidovich Fokina’s Road to the Semifinals

Davidovich Fokina cruised past Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez in the quarterfinals with a dominant 6-2, 6-2 win. The Spaniard has been solid on hard courts, reaching the Delray Beach Open final earlier this month before falling to Miomir Kecmanovic in a three-set battle.

Key Stats on Hard Courts (Past 12 Months):
✔ Win Percentage: 19-17
✔ Service Games Won: 74.0%
✔ Return Games Won: 27.6%
✔ Break Points Converted: 42.2% (14th on tour)

Despite not having an ATP title yet, Davidovich Fokina’s counterpunching skills and speed could trouble Shapovalov in this matchup.

Head-to-Head & Prediction

🔹 Previous Meetings: Shapovalov leads 1-0 in head-to-head matchups.
🔹 Shapovalov’s Strengths: Big serve, powerful groundstrokes, aggressive play.
🔹 Davidovich Fokina’s Strengths: Speed, defense, ability to extend rallies.

Prediction:

✅ Shapovalov wins in 2 sets. His firepower should be too much for Davidovich Fokina, especially if he maintains his consistency from the Dallas Open.

How to Watch Shapovalov vs. Davidovich Fokina

📅 Date: Friday, February 28
📺 Live Stream: Watch on Tennis Channel (via FuboTV)
🏟 Surface: Hard Court

Tournament Odds (as of Friday at 9:56 AM ET)

✔ Shapovalov to Win Title: +220
✔ Davidovich Fokina to Win Title: +275

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