WTA Qatar Open: Iga Swiatek vs. Elena Rybakina – Preview, Head-to-Head, and Prediction

The Qatar Open quarterfinal clash between Iga Swiatek and Elena Rybakina is set to be a thrilling encounter. With both players in strong form, the match promises high-intensity rallies and strategic battles. While Swiatek is looking for her first title since Roland Garros 2024, Rybakina is aiming to prove her consistency despite coaching instability.

Iga Swiatek vs. Elena Rybakina: Match Preview

Iga Swiatek (World No. 2) – 2025 Season So Far

Swiatek kicked off her 2025 season with an impressive run at the United Cup, defeating top names like Karolina Muchova, Katie Boulter, and Rybakina, before falling to Coco Gauff in the final. At the Australian Open, she reached the semifinals but was stopped by Madison Keys in three sets.

In Doha, she advanced to the quarterfinals after a hard-fought victory over Linda Nosková. Swiatek has maintained an 11-2 record on hard courts this year, proving her dominance despite some vulnerabilities.

Elena Rybakina (World No. 7) – 2025 Season So Far

Rybakina, the 2022 Wimbledon champion, has been solid in 2025, reaching the Abu Dhabi semifinals and maintaining a 10-3 hard court record. She secured her Qatar Open quarterfinal spot with a 7-6, 6-2 win over Rebecca Šrámková and has yet to drop a set in the tournament.

Her dominant first-serve percentage (90%) and aggressive playing style make her a formidable opponent for Swiatek.

Swiatek vs. Rybakina: Head-to-Head Record

Elena Rybakina leads 4-3 in their previous encounters:

• January 4, 2025 (United Cup SF) – Swiatek won 7-6(5), 6-4
• April 20, 2024 (Stuttgart SF) – Rybakina won 6-3, 4-6, 6-3
• February 17, 2024 (Doha Final) – Swiatek won 7-6(8), 6-2
• May 17, 2023 (Rome QF) – Rybakina advanced after Swiatek retired (2-6, 7-6(3), 2-2)
• March 17, 2023 (Indian Wells SF) – Rybakina won 6-2, 6-2
• January 22, 2023 (Australian Open 4R) – Rybakina won 6-4, 6-4
• September 24, 2021 (Ostrava QF) – Swiatek won 7-6(5), 6-2

Prediction: Elena Rybakina to Win in Three Sets

While Swiatek’s consistency and defensive skills are among the best on the WTA tour, Rybakina’s power and strong serving give her an edge in this matchup.

Key Factors:

✅ Swiatek’s Strengths: Reliable serve (63% first-serve in), great break-point conversion, strong baseline play
✅ Rybakina’s Strengths: Aggressive play, powerful first serve (90% success rate), high ace count
✅ Swiatek’s Weaknesses: Vulnerability to big hitters, already dropped a set in Doha
✅ Rybakina’s Weaknesses: Coaching instability, struggles in long rallies

Given Rybakina’s dominant serve and attacking mindset, she is expected to win in three sets over Swiatek in a closely contested match.

🏆 Prediction: Elena Rybakina defeats Iga Swiatek in three sets.

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